Stroke Recurrence Risk Doubles in Patients With AF Who Stop Anticoagulation Therapy

No Surprises

Steven R. Messe, MD, professor of neurology at the Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, who didn’t take part in the study but is familiar with its findings, said in an interview that the study is a “well-done analysis.”

The findings are not surprising, he said. “The overall risk of stroke recurrence was 4.3% at 1 year while the mortality rate was higher at 15.4%. Given that the median CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was 4 and the average age was 79, the stroke recurrence rate and mortality rate are in line with prior studies.”

In regard to the power of OAC therapy to prevent recurrent strokes, Dr. Messe noted that patients may not be adhering to prescribed regimens. Also, “while DOACs are clearly safer that vitamin K–dependent anticoagulants, the medications are generally not dose adjusted. It is possible that adjusting the dose based on measured anti-Xa levels to insure therapeutic anticoagulant effects may reduce the stroke risk further.”

He added that “most of these patients with prior stroke and atrial fibrillation are vasculopathic and at risk of additional strokes due to other mechanisms such as small vessel or large vessel disease.”

In the big picture, the study “confirms again that anticoagulation should be prescribed to all patients with atrial fibrillation and prior stroke, unless there is a strong bleeding risk contraindication,” Dr. Messe said. These patients are clearly at high risk of stroke recurrence and mortality, and all risk factors should be aggressively managed.”

Researchers are exploring other options, he said. “For example, there are studies of factor XI inhibitors that could be added to a DOAC for additional reductions in ischemic stroke. In addition, in patients undergoing cardiac surgery, the randomized trial LAOS III demonstrated that surgical left atrial occlusion in addition to anticoagulation may provide additional stroke prevention.”

Dr. Gaist disclosed personal fees from Pfizer and Bristol Myers Squibb, and grants from Bayer. Several other authors reported various relationships with industry. Dr. Messe has no disclosures.