Frailty Trends in an Older Veteran Subpopulation 1 Year Prior and Into the COVID-19 Pandemic Using CAN Scores
Background: We studied the effects of the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic on frailty trends in a subset of older veterans at the Phoenix Veterans Affairs Health Care System.
Methods: We identified 3538 and 6103 veterans aged 70 to 75 years as of February 8, 2019, with a calculated Care Assessment Need (CAN) score of ≥ 75 for 1-year mortality and hospitalization, respectively. After excluding veterans with insufficient 2020 and 2021 data, we compared the difference in 1-year mortality and hospitalization CAN scores from 2019 to 2020 with 2020 to 2021 using a paired t test.
Results: The difference in mean (SD) 1-year mortality CAN scores from 2020 to 2021 was 0.2 (13.4) when compared with the previous year’s -4.9 (12.5) (P < .0001), indicating increased frailty. The difference in 1-year hospitalization CAN scores from 2020 to 2021 was -1.5 (12.0) when compared with the previous year’s -2.8 (9.9) (P < .0001).
Conclusions: Frailty in our veteran subpopulation as calculated by 1-year mortality CAN scores increased in the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic when compared with a recovering trend the previous year.
Limitations
Our study is limited by our older veteran population demographics. We chose only a subset of older veterans at a single VA center for this study and cannot extrapolate the results to all older frail veterans or community dwelling older adults. Robust individuals may also transition to prefrailty and frailty over longer periods; our study monitored frailty trends over 2 years.
CAN scores are not quality measures to improve upon. Allocation and utilization of additional resources may clinically benefit a patient but increase their CAN scores. Although our results are statistically significant, we are unable to make any conclusions about clinical significance.
Conclusions
Our study results indicate frailty as determined by 1-year mortality CAN scores significantly increased in a subset of older veterans during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic when compared with the previous year. Whether this change in frailty is temporary or long lasting remains to be seen. Automated CAN scores can be effectively utilized to monitor frailty trends in certain veteran populations over longer periods.
Acknowledgments
This material is the result of work supported with resources and the use of facilities at the Phoenix Veterans Affairs Health Care System.
