Predictors of Clinically Significant Echocardiography Findings in Older Adults with Syncope: A Secondary Analysis
BACKGROUND: Syncope is a common reason for visiting the emergency department (ED) and is associated with significant healthcare resource utilization.
OBJECTIVE: To develop a risk-stratification tool for clinically significant findings on echocardiography among older adults presenting to the ED with syncope or near-syncope. DESIGN: Prospective, observational cohort study from April 2013 to September 2016
SETTING: Eleven EDs in the United States
PATIENTS: We enrolled adults (≥60 years) who presented to the ED with syncope or near-syncope who underwent transthoracic echocardiography (TTE).
MEASUREMENTS: The primary outcome was a clinically significant finding on TTE. Clinical, electrocardiogram, and laboratory variables were also collected. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictors of significant findings on echocardiography.
RESULTS: A total of 3,686 patients were enrolled. Of these, 995 (27%) received echocardiography, and 215 (22%) had a significant finding on echocardiography. Regression analysis identified five predictors of significant findings: (1) history of congestive heart failure, (2) history of coronary artery disease, (3) abnormal electrocardiogram, (4) high-sensitivity troponin-T >14 pg/mL, and 5) N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide >125 pg/mL. These five variables make up the ROMEO (Risk Of Major Echocardiography findings in Older adults with syncope) criteria. The sensitivity of a ROMEO score of zero for excluding significant findings on echocardiography was 99.5% (95% CI: 97.4%-99.9%) with a specificity of 15.4% (95% CI: 13.0%-18.1%).
CONCLUSIONS: If validated, this risk-stratification tool could help clinicians determine which syncope patients are at very low risk of having clinically significant findings on echocardiography.
REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier NCT01802398.
© 2018 Society of Hospital Medicine
Acknowledgments
The authors would like to thank the research assistants at all 11 sites who enrolled patients and collected data for this study.
Disclosures
Dr. Adler has received research funding from Roche. Dr. Bastani has received research funding from Radiometer and Portola and has been a consultant for Portola. Dr. Baugh has received advisory board and speaker’s fees from Roche, research funding from Janssen and Boehringer Ingelheim, and consulting and advisory board fees from Janssen. Dr. Casterino has received funding from Astra Zeneca. Dr. Clark has received research funding from Radiometer, Ortho Clinical Trials, Janssen, Pfizer, NIH, Portola, Biocryst, Glaxo Smith Klein, Hospital Quality Foundation, and Abbott. She is a consultant for Portola, Janssen, and Hospital Quality Foundation. Dr. Diercks is a consultant for Siemens, Janssen, and Roche has received institutional research support from Novartis, Ortho Scientific, and Roche. Dr. Hollander has received research funding from Alere, Siemens, Roche, Portola, and Trinity. Dr. Hollander has also received royalties from UpToDate. Dr. Nishijima has received an honorarium from Pfizer. Dr. Storrow is a consultant for Siemens and Quidel, has received speaking fees from MCM Education, and is on the Data and Safety Monitoring Board for Trevena. Dr. Sun is a consultant for Medtronic. The other authors report no relevant conflicts of interest.
Funding
This project was supported by the National Heart, Lung, And Blood Institute of the National Institutes of Health under Award Number R01 HL111033. Dr. Probst is supported by the National Heart, Lung, And Blood Institute of the National Institutes of Health under Award Number K23HL132052-02. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the National Institutes of Health. Roche Diagnostics supplied the high-sensitivity troponin-T assays. The sponsoring organizations had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; and preparation, or review of the manuscript.
