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Natural History of HPV Infections

The Journal of Family Practice. 2009 September;58(9):S3-S7
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FIGURE 2
Cumulative detection of CIN 2,3 after incident HPV infections in two studies


HPV, human papillomavirus.
After incident HPV 16 infection (green line) and after incident HPV 16 or 18 infection (blue line).
Modified from Winer RL, et al. J Infect Dis. 2005;191:731-738 (blue line); Mao C, et al. Obstet Gynecol. 2006;107:18-27 (green line).

TABLE
Detection of CIN 2,3 or cancer

HPV statusPercent with CIN 2+*
HPV negative0.4%
HPV 1637%
HPV 1826%
HPV 3137%
HPV 3348%
HPV 5226%
HPV 5830%
CIN, cervical intraepithelial neoplasia; HPV, human papillomavirus.
*Percentage of women diagnosed with CIN 2,3 or cancer during a 4-year follow-up period.
Modified from Naucler P, et al. Br J Cancer. 2007;97:129-132.
TAKE-HOME POINTS
  • HPV infections are common, and approximately half of young women become infected within 4 years of initiating sexual activity.
  • The predominant mode of transmission of HPV is by sexual intercourse; consistent use of condoms reduces, but does not prevent, transmission.
  • More than 80% of HPV infections spontaneously clear over a 3-year period.
  • Less than 5% of women in the general population are high-risk HPV positive by the age of 45 years.
  • HPV 16 and HPV 18 are quite oncogenic, and about 1 out of 4 infected individuals will develop CIN 2,3 over a 3-year period.