Venous thromboembolism: What to do after anticoagulation is started

HOW LONG TO TREAT UNPROVOKED (IDIOPATHIC) VTE

A VTE event is thought to be idiopathic if it occurs without a clearly identified provoking factor.

Commonly accepted risk factors for VTE are recent surgery, hospitalization for an acute medical illness, active cancer, and some inherited thrombophilias. Less clear is whether immobilization, pregnancy, use of female hormones, and long-distance travel should also be considered as provoking conditions. Various trials have used different combinations of risk factors as exclusion criteria to define idiopathic (unprovoked) VTE when assessing the length or intensity of anticoagulation (Table 2).^24–29 The ACCP guidelines² cite estrogen therapy, pregnancy, and travel longer than 8 hours as minor risk factors for VTE.

In an observational study,³ patients with oral contraceptive use, transient illness, immobilization, or a history of travel had an 8.8% risk of recurrence vs 19.4% in patients with unprovoked VTE. The meta-analysis discussed above (Table 1)⁸ also shows that patients with these nonsurgical risk factors have a lower rate of recurrence than patients with idiopathic VTE.

The high rate of recurrence of idiopathic VTE (4% to 27% after 3 months of anticoagulation^24–26) suggests that a longer duration of treatment is reasonable. However, increasing the length of therapy from 3 to 12 months delays but does not prevent recurrence, the risk of which begins to accumulate once anticoagulation is stopped.^24,25

Three promising strategies to identify subgroups of patients with idiopathic VTE who are at highest risk of recurrence and who would benefit the most from prolonged anticoagulation are d-dimer testing, evaluation for residual vein thrombosis in patients who present with a deep vein thrombosis, and clinical prediction rules.

d-dimer testing

d-dimer is a degradation product of fibrin and is an indirect marker of residual thrombosis.³⁰

In a systematic review of patients with a first episode of unprovoked VTE,³¹ a normal d-dimer concentration at the end of at least 3 months of anticoagulation was associated with a 3.5% annual risk of recurrence, whereas an elevated d-dimer level at that time was associated with an annual risk of 8.9%. These results were confirmed in a systematic review of individual patient data.³²

In a randomized trial,²⁸ patients with an idiopathic VTE event who received anticoagulation for at least 3 months had their d-dimer level measured 1 month after cessation of treatment. Those with an elevated level were randomized to either resume anticoagulation or not. Patients who resumed anticoagulation had an annual recurrence rate of 2%; however, those who were allocated not to restart anticoagulation had a recurrence rate of 10.9% per year. There was no difference in the rate of major bleeding between the two groups. Patients in this clinical trial who had a normal d-dimer level did not restart anticoagulation and had an annual recurrence rate of 4.4%.

Evaluation for residual thrombosis

Patients who have residual deep vein thrombosis after treatment have been shown to have higher rates of recurrent VTE.³³ Therefore, repeating Doppler ultrasonography is another clinical consideration that may help establish the optimal duration of anticoagulation.

A randomized trial³⁴ in patients with both provoked and idiopathic deep vein thrombosis showed a reduction in recurrence when those who had residual vein thrombosis were given extended anticoagulation. In the subset of patients whose deep vein thrombosis was idiopathic, the recurrence rate was 17% per year when treatment lasted only 3 months and 10% when it was extended for up to 1 year.

Another trial³⁵ randomized patients with provoked and idiopathic deep vein thrombosis to receive anticoagulation for the usual duration or to continue treatment until recanalization of the residual thrombus was demonstrated on follow-up Doppler ultrasonography. Patients who received this ultrasonography-tailored treatment had a lower rate of recurrence of VTE; however, the absolute reductions in recurrence rates cannot be calculated from this report for patients with idiopathic deep vein thrombosis.

A prospective observational study³⁶ of the predictive value of d-dimer status and residual vein thrombus found that only d-dimer was an independent risk factor for recurrent VTE after vitamin K antagonist withdrawal.

A clinical prediction rule: ‘Men and HERDOO₂’

A promising tool for predicting if a patient is at low risk of recurrent VTE after the first episode of proximal deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism is known by the mnemonic device “Men and HERDOO₂.” It is based on data prospectively derived by Rodger et al³⁷ to identify patients with less than a 3% annual risk of recurrent VTE after their first event of idiopathic proximal deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism. Risk factors for recurrent VTE were male sex (the “men” of “Men and HERDOO₂”), signs of postthrombotic syndrome, including hyperpigmentation of the lower extremities, edema or redness of either leg, a d-dimer level > 250 μg/L, obesity (body mass index > 30 kg/m², and older age (> 65 years).

Overall, one-fourth of the population were women with no risk factors or one risk factor, and their risk of recurrence was 1.6% per year. Men and women who had two or more risk factors for postthrombotic syndrome (hyperpigmentation, edema, or redness), elevated d-dimer, obesity, or older age were predicted to be at higher risk of recurrent VTE. Patients such as this should be considered for indefinite anticoagulation.

Ideally, clinical prediction rules should be validated in a separate group of patients before they are used routinely in practice,³⁸ and this clinical prediction rule is currently being tested in the REVERSE II study. If the results are consistent, this will be an easy-to-use tool to help identify patients who likely can safely stop anticoagulation therapy after 3 to 6 months (clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT00967304).

The location of the thrombosis also influences the likelihood of recurrence. Patients with isolated distal (calf) deep vein thrombosis are less likely to suffer recurrent VTE than those who present with proximal deep vein thrombosis. However, trials focusing specifically on the precise subset of idiopathic isolated distal deep vein thrombosis are lacking. In a randomized trial³⁹ comparing 6 vs 12 weeks of anticoagulation for isolated distal deep vein thrombosis and 12 vs 24 weeks for proximal deep vein thrombosis, the annual rates of recurrence after 12 weeks of treatment were approximately 3.4% for isolated distal and 8.1% for proximal deep vein thrombosis.³⁹