Diabetes medications and cardiovascular outcome trials: Lessons learned

DPP-4 INHIBITORS: NOT INFERIOR TO PLACEBO 

Saxagliptin

Saxagliptin, a DPP-4 inhibitor, was found in a meta-analysis of phase 2B and early phase 3 trial data involving almost 5,000 patients to be associated with a dramatic 56% relative risk reduction in cardiovascular death, heart attack, and stroke. However, this analysis was limited by the extremely low number of events to analyze, with only 41 total patients with cardiovascular events in that dataset.¹²

The SAVOR-TIMI 53 trial¹³ subsequently compared saxagliptin and placebo in a randomized, double-blind trial conducted in 26 countries with nearly 16,500 patients with type 2 diabetes. All patients continued their conventional diabetes treatment at the discretion of their physicians.

During an average follow-up of 2 years, 1,222 events of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, or stroke occurred. No significant difference in event rates was found between the saxagliptin and placebo groups. This did not demonstrate the expected cardiovascular benefit based on prior meta-analysis of phase 2B and phase 3 data presented above, but saxagliptin did not increase cardiovascular risk and was the first diabetes drug to earn this distinction of robustly statistically proven cardiovascular safety.

Further analysis of the SAVOR-TIMI 53 trial data revealed a 27% increased relative risk of heart failure hospitalization with saxagliptin compared with placebo.¹⁴ Although the risk was statistically significant, the absolute difference in heart failure incidence between the drug and placebo groups was only 0.7% (3.5% vs 2.8%, respectively). As the average follow-up in the trial was 2 years, the absolute incremental risk of heart failure seen with saxagliptin is 0.35% annually—almost identical in magnitude to the increased heart failure risk with pioglitazone. The increased risk of heart failure was seen within the first 6 months of the trial and persisted throughout the trial, indicating an increased up-front risk of heart failure.

Alogliptin

The EXAMINE trial¹⁵ compared the DPP-4 inhibitor alogliptin and placebo in 5,380 patients with type 2 diabetes who had had a recent acute coronary event.¹⁵ Over the 30 months of the trial, more than 600 primary outcome events of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, or stroke occurred, with no significant difference between drug and placebo groups with established nominal statistical noninferiority. A numerically higher incidence of heart failure was noted in patients who received alogliptin than with placebo, but the difference was not statistically significant.¹⁶ However, this study was not powered to detect such an increased risk. In patients entering the trial with no history of heart failure, the risk of hospitalization for heart failure was 76% higher in the alogliptin group than in the placebo group, with a nominally significant P value less than .05 in this subgroup.

These analyses led the FDA in 2016 to mandate label warnings for saxagliptin and alogliptin regarding the increased risk of heart failure.¹⁷

Sitagliptin

The TECOS trial¹⁸ tested the DPP-4 inhibitor sitagliptin and, unlike the SAVOR or EXAMINE trials, included hospitalization for unstable angina in the composite end point. Nearly 15,000 patients with type 2 diabetes and established cardiovascular disease were enrolled, and almost 2,500 events occurred. No significant difference was found between the 2 groups.

In a series of analyses prospectively planned, sitagliptin was not associated with an increased risk of hospitalization for heart failure.¹⁹ But despite these robust analyses demonstrating no incremental heart failure risk with sitagliptin, in August 2017, the US product label for sitagliptin was modified to include a warning that other DPP-4 inhibitors have been associated with heart failure and to suggest caution. The label for linagliptin had the same FDA-required changes, with no data yet available from outcomes trials with linagliptin.

GLP-1 RECEPTOR AGONISTS

Lixisenatide: Noninferior to placebo

The ELIXA trial²⁰ assessed the cardiovascular safety of the GLP-1 receptor agonist lixisenatide in patients with type 2 diabetes who recently had an acute coronary event. The study enrolled 6,068 patients from 49 countries, and nearly 1,000 events (cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, stroke, or unstable angina) occurred during the median 25 months of the study. Results showed lixisenatide did not increase or decrease cardiovascular events or adverse events when compared with placebo.

Liraglutide: Evidence of benefit

The LEADER trial²¹ randomized 9,340 patients with or at increased risk for cardiovascular disease to receive the injectable GLP-1 receptor agonist liraglutide or placebo. After a median of 3.8 years of follow-up, liraglutide use was associated with a statistically significant 13% relative reduction in major adverse cardiovascular events, mostly driven by a 22% reduction in cardiovascular death.

Semaglutide: Evidence of benefit

The SUSTAIN-6 trial²² found a statistically significant 26% relative risk reduction in cardiovascular outcomes comparing once-weekly semaglutide (an injectable GLP-1 receptor agonist) and placebo in 3,297 patients with type 2 diabetes and established cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, or risk factors for cardiovascular disease. The significant reduction in the incidence of nonfatal stroke with semaglutide was the main driver of the observed benefit.

Taspoglutide: Development halted

Taspoglutide was a candidate GLP-1 receptor agonist that underwent clinical trials for cardiovascular outcomes planned to involve about 8,000 patients. The trials were stopped early and drug development was halted after about 600 patient-years of exposure because of antibody formation in about half of patients exposed to taspoglutide, with anaphylactoid reactions and anaphylaxis reported.²³